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(Alt. Hist.) Russia Wins Russo-Japanese War.
12-09-2013, 05:06 PM,
Post: #1
(Alt. Hist.) Russia Wins Russo-Japanese War.
If Russia won the Russo-Japanese War of 1905, what would have changed in history? Let's explore it!

Before we start this Alternate History, let's explain the Russo-Japanese War a bit.

The Russo-Japanese War evolved from conflicting imperial interests between Russia and Japan. Russia wanted a full-time Pacific port: Port Arthur. Japan wanted to expand westward into China. Of course, Russia did not want to lose Manchuria, which was under Russian influence at the time.

Russian naval forces were decimated by a surprise attack (akin to Pearl Harbor against the USA) at the Battle of Port Arthur in 1904. The war continued to go badly, leading to massive unrest in Russia that threatened the Imperial Regime.

Now, onto my alternative way of how history could have gone, which is obviously speculative and fictional.

This is the course of how the war goes in this alternative spin of history:

Predicting the Japanese attack on Port Arthur, Tsar Nicholas II orders most of its ships to move away from Port Arthur on Feb. 5, 1904. Japan finds Port Arthur mostly unprotected, forces the false defender ship to surrender, and docks at Port Arthur to commence the war with ease. Russian forces return on time and destroy the Japanese fleet at Port Arthur. Japanese forces are defeated shortly thereafter by a large amount of forces stationed in nearby areas.

Russia wins the war and the Treaty of Vladivostok is signed on 18 March 1906, with Japan surrendering most of Korea with the exception of the Busan area of southern Korea.

Getting into the aftermath ripple and domino effects of this change in history:

In WWI, the Russian Empire is still an Allied Power. The Russian Revolution still occurs due to German spy operations, but Alexander Kolchak prevails over the revolutionary forces in the subsequent Russian Civil War due to the popular opinion of White Russian forces being less tarnished by the Russo-Japanese War.

The second Russian Empire is established on 12 January 1920, after the ultimate defeat of the Leftist forces. A new constitution which is more democratic is established to discourage further insurrection, but the Tsar (now a cousin of Nicholas II: Cyril I) still remains as the most powerful figure in the new Empire, albeit checked by Prime Minister Kolchak, a figure whose popular influence was roughly equivalent to that of America's George Washington and whose successors are much less powerful due to their lack of popular influence.

By 1934, the tensions that will lead to WWII are, as in real history, escalating at their familiar pace. In 1937, Japan uses the Busan base to invade Russian Korea; however, tensions with Nazi Germany are also reaching a boiling point. Russian defenses in Korea are strong, but Russia will not be able to handle a secondary war in Europe.

In 1939, Hitler's Wehrmacht invades Russian Poland, subsequently engulfing it and then moving westward into France. The Russian populace is outraged.

In 1941, the frontline is in the Russian Homeland, with St. Petersburg and Moscow under siege. The fortified city of Kolchakgorod is a zone of intense fighting, as Germany seeks to enter the Middle East via Russia.

In January 1943, Germany loses in Kolchakgorod. They retreat from Moscow in February 1943, and by June 1943, St. Petersburg is a safe zone. Having lost Korea to Japan, Russia begins a counterattack to retake not only Korea, but all of Japan.

In October 1944, Russia retakes Poland from Germany. Shortly thereafter, after much heavy fighting, Japan is driven back to its "home islands", having lost Korea, the Kuriles, and Sakhalin Island.

In April 1945, Hitler is captured by spies from the Russian Empire. After a voyage to Moscow, he is publicly executed in a highly gruesome show.

In July 1945, the Battle of Kyoto commences. This is the last major battle before a planned invasion of Tokyo.

In August 1945, the Russian Empire unleashes the first nuclear weapon north of Tokyo.

After the absolute surrender of Japan, Russia integrates it as a territory of Russia. Germany is partitioned as it was in history, but as the US never entered WWII due to Japan's confidence that Pearl Harbor was unnecessary, they are not given a part of Germany. The British and Russians engage in the Cold War.

The Chinese Civil War ends in a permanent schism between northern Nationalist China and southern Maoist China in 1948, thanks to Russian and British intervention. Russia and Britain effectively control China in its divided state.

The Cold War continues until 1972, when Japanese regions officially begin to gain oblast status within Russia and Britain grants independence to various worldwide possessions.

Skipping to now, in 2013, Russia is a globally influential power, with a few signs that it may weaken going forward, but nothing seems to be imminent.
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